Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.803877e-03 0.001984 0.002165 0.002359 0.002563 0.002769 0.002993
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.546950e-03 0.001821 0.002106 0.002421 0.002761 0.003112 0.003503
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.376054e-03 0.001730 0.002108 0.002540 0.003013 0.003514 0.004080
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.087638e-03 0.001483 0.001923 0.002439 0.003019 0.003646 0.004366
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.766690e-04 0.001303 0.001795 0.002389 0.003072 0.003822 0.004697
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.341417e-04 0.001188 0.001730 0.002402 0.003190 0.004068 0.005104
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.165777e-04 0.001090 0.001677 0.002421 0.003310 0.004313 0.005509
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.316522e-04 0.001024 0.001655 0.002473 0.003464 0.004595 0.005956
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.534698e-04 0.000957 0.001626 0.002511 0.003599 0.004853 0.006374
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.754972e-04 0.000881 0.001578 0.002520 0.003695 0.005063 0.006734
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.909246e-04 0.000781 0.001490 0.002473 0.003719 0.005186 0.006992
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.298341e-04 0.000709 0.001433 0.002461 0.003782 0.005351 0.007296
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.790615e-04 0.000649 0.001394 0.002477 0.003889 0.005582 0.007693
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.485014e-04 0.000620 0.001400 0.002553 0.004072 0.005906 0.008204
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.326591e-04 0.000618 0.001445 0.002683 0.004326 0.006318 0.008823
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.841243e-05 0.000516 0.001327 0.002585 0.004285 0.006370 0.009013
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.515262e-05 0.000444 0.001249 0.002537 0.004305 0.006495 0.009288
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.744382e-05 0.000403 0.001219 0.002553 0.004408 0.006721 0.009686
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.498633e-05 0.000368 0.001193 0.002574 0.004516 0.006953 0.010090
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.164131e-06 0.000347 0.001191 0.002629 0.004668 0.007240 0.010560
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.171157e-06 0.000323 0.001180 0.002669 0.004800 0.007501 0.010999
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.860854e-07 0.000291 0.001150 0.002679 0.004889 0.007707 0.011370
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000245 0.001086 0.002631 0.004898 0.007809 0.011614